Saturday, 24 March 2012

Were this a proper P&L blog

This would be an 'L' post.

Friday was the worst night of trading SG's in France for many a long month and I'm not going to dissect it now. Suffice to say that my overall loss was only about £50 due to a successful lay of Over 2.5 at 1-0 in the Monaco game allowing me to cover several losses.

I'll let the results speak for themselves - it doesn't take a rocket scientist to work out that 2 x 0-0 and 2 x 0-3/3-0 from 9 matches doesn't leave much room for manouever when 1-1 followed by a late 1-2 or 2-1 is your ideal scenario!


The one match I would pick out as a real lost opportunity was the Reims v Metz encounter. With the home side at 3-0 before the half hour mark Any Unquoted was available to lay at 1.66. As the previous 30 minutes had seen that particular match suspended for long periods I felt unable to trust the market and so left it alone. When laying AU you really don't need your Geek's screen flickering like a badly set up traffic light - it's not conducive to sensible decision making.

Speaking of sensible decision making you might justifiably ask 'what's sensible about wanting to lay AU at 3-0 with an hour left to play?'

On the face of it, nothing. But I have lost count of the number of times I've watched one side race to a three goal lead and then do little or nothing thereafter. Sometimes it seems to me that both sides adopt a sort of 'job done' mentality and accept that that score will be the final result. Other times the losing team digs in and makes a fight of it. Occasionally you will lose the lay. But by staking within  your comfort zone, and taking full responsibility should it go tits up, often there are good profits to be had with this trade.

1 comment:

  1. Calculated risk has to be taken in these kind of economic situation.

    ReplyDelete