Monday 29 August 2011

Take advantage of silly starts

There was a local derby in the Croatian city of Split yesterday. Hadjuk, the away team, scored after 2 minutes. By four minutes the home side, RNK, were level. Taking into account a little bit of injury time it is fair to say there was still 90 minutes of football left and two goals already scored. There is an obvious market to take advantage of in this situation - namely the Under 2.5 goals market.

I entered a back on Under 2.5 at 12, investing the interweb equivalent of a crisp brown ten pound note. More of a punt than a trade, but I've been trading correct score football matches for long enough to know that these frenetic starts often fizzle away to nothing and a stalemate. I took a sizeable green at around 60 minutes when the price had dropped to 3. You can probably guess the result... yep, 1-1!

Had the two goals been to the same side I would probably have laid Any Unquoted in the Correct Score market.

The point is that when silly starts occur the prices in certain markets offer loads more possibilities for profit than was ever going to be the case pre match. Sure it's a risky trade, and not one I'd enter in a match with a very strong favourite, but if you are looking at a game with relatively evenly matched teams you can often make a nice profit because the prices are so tradeable.

Opportunities like this happen surprisingly frequently, so good luck in sniffing them out and in getting green from them.

4 comments:

  1. Avid follower of your Blog Gundulf, just started my own blog, any chance of a link exchange

    http://layawayforaprofitableday.blogspot.com/

    Regards
    Neil

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  2. Great advice Gun!
    It's definitely woth a punt here and there when oppurtunities like this arise. Enjoying your blog, keep it up.

    Soda

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  3. HI GUNDULF,,STUMBLED ACROSS YOUR BLOG AND I AM FINDING IT FASCINATING READING,I WAS WONDERING IF YOU WOULD BE SO KIND AS TO TELL ME WHERE YOUR ORIGINAL ATTEMPT ENDED UP AND DID YOU MAKE THE PLANNED AMOUNT,AND WHERE ARE YOU NOW? ARE YOU EMPLOYING A STAKING SYSTEM AND HAVE A SPECIFIC AIM OR JUST GOING WITH THE FLOW
    BRILLIANT STUFF KEEP IT UP...

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  4. Neil, done mate - be interested to hear / read some of your reasoning behind your lays, or is it a 'mechanical' system?

    Soda, I know you've been brave (or stupid!) enough to climb on some of my in play moves in the past and am glad you feel confident in so doing!

    Keith, no mate - the trading and blogging discipline deserted me so I'm just a jobbing trader fast becoming a one trick pony! Very much a hobbyist lurching from one apparent opportunity to another with gay abandon! But enjoying the journey, though!

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