Friday, 12 November 2010

Any Unquoted - Correct Score 2

The Correct Score 2 (cs2) market is offered by Betfair where a rain of goals is expected. The scores start at 4-0 (or 0-4)  and usually go out to 7-2 (or 2-7) and the market offers an AU scoreline for scores outside the range quoted above. If you stop to think about that statement for a second you'll realise that, in the context of CS2, 3-0 is an AU score, as is 0-0 and indeed 25-0! So how can it be used?

The first thing to point out is that cs2 is generally a very low liquidity market, and AU is the least liquid of the scorelines available on it - until a higher AU score becomes a possibility, that is! Then it magically springs into life.

AU generally starts off odds on, I have seen it as high as 1.9, but more usually it's in the 1.4's. The reason of course is that 0-0 through 3-3 is an AU result, so the scoreline steams until at least a couple of goals to the favourite are scored. My favourite entry point is about 1.2 at which point I usually lay £100 for a liability of £20.

As a stand alone trade this is fine on its own as long at the score at some point with some time to go reaches 0-3 or 3-0 to the favourite. Then it steams right out - as the next score is 4-0 or 0-4. A 3-0 / 0-4 result is paydirt as the lay wins!

I tend to use AU on cs2 as cover against some of the more interesting combinations on the normal CS market. It can be the most effective way of taking AU out of the CS market - leaving you free to concentrate on the lower scores without having to worry about 4-0 or 4-1 etc. You could use the O/U 4.5 goals in the same way, but my preference is AU cs2 as the odds are generally a bit lower.

There is a cs2 market offered, for some reason, in the Man City v Birmingham match tomorrow - have a look if you get a chance and see how the odds move, and how liquidity changes as goals (if any - game looks a 1-0 2-0 to me!) go in. More likely to be worth watching is the market for the Chelsea v Sunderland match on Sunday.

Good luck over the weekend -no trading for me until late Sunday afternoon due to work and social commitments.

2 comments:

  1. Gun,

    I have found that many of the top league games have a CS2 market offered now, so it is not necessarily just for matches where a rain of goals are expected, but is now becoming a more regularly-available market.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi Silk, nice to see you've found your way to my little blog! I think CS2 is a great market, but the problem, at least until 2 or 3 goals are scored is one of liquidity. Perhaps between us we can turn more people onto its possibilities and get a bit more money in there to play with!

    ReplyDelete