Sometimes you just call it wrong, but can still come out smiling

Did a Scatter Gun last night in a Copa Libertadores match involving Penarol and Internacionale. For those who don't know much about Latin American football, the matches tend to start late (UK time 11pm to 1am!) and the quality of the football is perhaps not what we're used to in the major European league and cup fixtures. The games can be frenetic and pacy, but too often the quality of passing, shooting and crossing is poor. They do, however, usually produce goals so make ideal trading material.

As this game started at 11.30 I was able to secure £11 on under 1.5 goals before kick off, thus eliminating 0-0 and 1-0 or 0-1 from my trade. I backed 1-1, 1-2 and 2-1 in the usual way at kick off and added 2-2 in play at about the half hour mark whilst the game was still 0-0. The screenshot below shows my position about 10 minutes in...

Penarol opened the scoring at 37 minutes, and although they were the home side they were also slightly the underdogs so this suited the trade quite nicely. I immediately sought, and got, some green on U2.5 goals so now the danger score of 2-0 was also covered nicely. My correct score market at half time is shown below..

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As can be seen I could have taken a small green from the trade at this point and gone to bed! But you've got to read the market, and in this case the market obviously fancies 1-1 more than 2-0 so it's worthwhile staying in for a while.

The early stages of the second half were all Inter, and just as I was thinking of putting a small back on 2-0 to cover a breakaway goal by Penarol the equaliser came - and the score central to a successful SG - 1-1 - was attained! At this stage my U1.5 trade was toast, and obviously the odds on U2.5 shot out as well. Remember I had 2-2 covered so was quite relaxed about the Correct Score element of the trade - the only real danger was two very quick goals taking it to 1-3 or 3-1. I decided on the evidence of the game so far that a winning goal was likely, and so laid my 1-1 stake of £5 off that score, leaving me in the position shown below.

The more I watched the more convinced I became that another goal was coming, so I took the decision to green my U2.5 position for about 3 quid and to green 1-1 completely to leave a nice result on both 1-2 and 2-1. Of course you can guess what happened - the bloody game ended 1-1! In my infinite wisdom I'd managed to turn a £27 result on 1-1 and a £12 green on U2.5 into £11 and £3 respectively....

Looking back on it I would have been better placed to have let one of those trades stand - and if I had my time again I'd have left 1-1 alone and greened the 2.5 as that one was dead with one more goal whereas I'd still have been looking good at 1-2 or 2-1 especially with an unmolested £70  on 2-2!

My final position on Correct Score is shown below:

I'm happy that I played a reasonable trade here and although I unnecessarily gave away a lot of profit to some rather lucky backers I managed to turn an £11 stake into an £11 profit - 100% return - try getting that from a building society in a year, never mind a couple of hours! The £3 from the goals markets sweetened the situation somewhat, especially when the very most I ever had exposed in play was the £50 I scalped U2.5 with for about 5 minutes and the original £11 stakes (most of which was covered most of the time!).